Comments on: Debunking the MySpace Myth of 100 Million Users

By: convert ts to dvd

convert ts to dvd — Fri, 03 Jul 2009 01:10:25 +0000

Most of people in MySpace will not visit again after a month.
That’s really the truth.

By: jhkjkhjkjkh

jhkjkhjkjkh — Sat, 23 Aug 2008 07:38:06 +0000

kjhkhjkhjkjhnice analysis but from a purely research/maths view point a 303 sample out of 43 million, let alone, 100 million can’t really be trusted. you’ve sampled less than 0.001% of users (again thats using 43 million not “account holders”). Obviously doing a massive number lkjhkjhkjh

By: joe

joe — Mon, 28 Jul 2008 17:59:30 +0000

someone has alot of time on their hands

By: Sam

Sam — Fri, 25 Jul 2008 11:25:24 +0000

nice analysis but from a purely research/maths view point a 303 sample out of 43 million, let alone, 100 million can’t really be trusted. you’ve sampled less than 0.001% of users (again thats using 43 million not “account holders”). Obviously doing a massive number would be a pain in the arse I’m just saying, realistically, it’s not much to go on.

nice graphs though.

By: youtube downloader

youtube downloader — Tue, 08 Jul 2008 08:26:43 +0000

More than 50% can’t even bother to visit again after a month.
That’s really a huge proporation.

By: Don

Don — Sun, 06 Jul 2008 07:50:02 +0000

Personally, I think you should have taken the first sample at a lower range of overall accounts. Say around 2000-2100 instead of 25,000,000-25,000,100. The lower range would have counted older accounts and i suspect that more of them are not active users. A quick count of user-id 2000-2030 showed that only 2 of the 30 accounts logged on in the past month. The lower sample range would have most likely skewed the data lower.

By: marpmarp

marpmarp — Sat, 17 Mar 2007 14:49:03 +0000

I like the way the comments represented myspace number , including duplicates and even ending with a spambot (until I ruined it)

By: Free wii

Free wii — Sun, 11 Mar 2007 01:12:26 +0000

Get a free wii: http://free-wii-now.blogspot.com

By: SR

SR — Wed, 21 Feb 2007 19:50:59 +0000

What was the point of this rant, again?

By: Samantha

Samantha — Wed, 14 Feb 2007 20:37:25 +0000

OMG i have never been on this web page i have no idea what i am wirting about or what this is all about!!!!!!!!AHHH

By: elyse

elyse — Mon, 05 Feb 2007 12:14:09 +0000

hay elyse
oh my god i miss you heps ay

when are you coming back to tasmania
its not the same witihuot you
please come back
your so fun an stuff

well love you and miss you

xxxooomwahh

By: elyse

elyse — Mon, 05 Feb 2007 12:12:07 +0000

hay elyse
oh my god i miss you heps ay

when are you coming back to tasmania
its not the same witihuot you
please come back
your so fun an stuff

well love you and miss you

xxxooomwahh

By: tom

tom — Thu, 25 Jan 2007 17:45:09 +0000

Hi cool site friends!

By: Best regards

Best regards — Mon, 15 Jan 2007 14:45:11 +0000

Check this:

By: jamescooper

jamescooper — Mon, 15 Jan 2007 05:06:08 +0000

Latest news is there are about 9 billion users and myspace is more popular than Yahoo.

By: Overseer_501

Overseer_501 — Wed, 03 Jan 2007 12:12:59 +0000

Now it’s 145 million users.

I’m assuming, that Myspace is assuming, accounts = users. So 145 million accounts. Possibly less the number of accounts for movies, entertainers and porno sites. “Possibly”.
Like with any web site requiring membership, I’ll wagger that many accounts were just created to “see what’s inside” most people got bored and never came back. I think 50 million semi-active users is probably more realistic. Since most of the time the servers are overloaded I’ll bet that number will decrease overtime.

By: amigo

amigo — Wed, 27 Dec 2006 21:57:53 +0000

Hi cool site amigo12!

By: Lydia Brambila

Lydia Brambila — Fri, 08 Dec 2006 14:19:51 +0000

Though I’m sure that there can’t be roughly the same amount of users on MySpace as there are a third of the United States, your scientific process still wasn’t lengthy enough. 100 million? 303 users is only a miniscule number compared to that. The only way to get even SEMI-trustworthy results is by looking at least 10% of the supposed 100 million accounts… which is 10 million. Your relatively miniscule research isn’t really going to put a dent in MySpace’s argument.

Still, you did make a worthy report. Besides, MySpace is an addictive social fix created for teens, consisting mostly of twelve-year-olds who fake their ages to 99. Thanks for at least putting the question out in the open!

By: Gunnar

Gunnar — Tue, 03 Oct 2006 12:03:57 +0000

myspace is for loosers who blow smoke up each other asses. I, however, am going to turn of my mac now and go meet people.

By: jacktastic

jacktastic — Fri, 29 Sep 2006 21:13:57 +0000

I’m also curious if they count all of the members of a band who has a page as separate users. So, if U2 has a page, do all 4 band members count as users?

By: Mr Wave Theory

Mr Wave Theory — Thu, 28 Sep 2006 23:46:08 +0000

This is awesome work. I think there out to be more fact finding behind all the internet/web 2.0 hype. I am not surprised that people believed the 100 million figure, all the hype, and the hot air. This is yellow journalism. After all, Murdoch and Fox need to sell newspapers.

By: Hansjorg Giessel

Hansjorg Giessel — Thu, 28 Sep 2006 20:44:10 +0000

The whole Internet and specially the whole and complete so called ONLINE MARKETING area lives ONLY through “hype news”, and how, by the way, do you define “user” ?
There are millions of wrong informations, data and other ugly stuff out there – and that in mind gives you a more or less realistic view on whatÂŽs going on …
Therefore each and every figure which has been published online , has a remarkable amount of lies in it … due to the nature of the INTERNET. …

By: Rose DesRochers

Rose DesRochers — Thu, 28 Sep 2006 20:15:36 +0000

Companies looking to advertise on MySpace like large numbers. The madeup accounts are only to attract advertisers. I applaud you on this post, though it does not look like many are. LOL

By: mark evans

mark evans — Thu, 28 Sep 2006 12:51:41 +0000

it’s the dot-com numbers game all over again. you figure people should have learned the first time around about the perils of buying into big numbers, particularly those who “register” given there is a lot of site sampling happening as broadband connections make jumping from site to site so easy. you’re methodology may not be the most scientific but you have definitely put the spotlight on a key issue. good work!

By: John R

John R — Thu, 28 Sep 2006 06:49:28 +0000

Small sample or not, those numbers make a lot of sense to me. Still bloody huge, and like others say, that percentage of users actually active is very impressive – Small sample or not, those numbers make a lot of sense to me. Still bloody huge, and like others say, that percentage of users actually active is very impressive – <10% is a ballpark figure I’ve seen floated for a lot of other places. It’d be interesting to know how much of it’s bots, pure advertising etc.

By: Jim Pole

Jim Pole — Thu, 28 Sep 2006 05:36:59 +0000

So 100 million active profiles? Try 5 million active users.

By: Allen Sligar

Allen Sligar — Thu, 28 Sep 2006 04:47:11 +0000

Interesting analysis.

Comments:
43m sounds about right given thier current international channel reach.

Use cluster analysis next time, you can predictivly model growth more accurately that way (or lack thereof).

Note to Critic on Sample Size: You can actually get a fairly accurate trend read on a small smale size.

As to your analysis:

Much like the gaming industry there is a differance between:

For free games:
1. Registered users
2. Active users

For subscription games (assume free 15 day trial):
1. Registered users
2. Subscribing users

1. in both cases is often cited in press releases, 2 is a hard number to come by, and is usually an internally kept metric (in all industries)

Just some FYI while passing through..

Nice site btw….

By: PJ

PJ — Thu, 28 Sep 2006 02:46:29 +0000

How do you know that the account # in the URL corresponds directly with the # of accounts they claim? Are you sure that you’re aware of every account # in the system?

By: Robyn Tippins

Robyn Tippins — Thu, 28 Sep 2006 02:33:42 +0000

By the time you take into account the 1-fake profiles used by marketers who are running bots all day and the fact that so many real people have numerous accounts (one for mom and dad, one for friends, one for trolling, etc), I’d say your sample is probably about right.

I’d love to see their uniques per month…

By: Mb

Mb — Thu, 28 Sep 2006 01:45:42 +0000

what about account holders who log in for a few minutes (or are forced to do so by spam msgs) and thus fall into category 6.

I bet there’s tons of those as well that reduce the 43 million number.

By: Tom

Tom — Thu, 28 Sep 2006 00:38:22 +0000

I agree with Nitin, I think it’s very impressive that a estimated 1/3 of their registered accounts have logged in in less than a week. Considering that the site has been running for 3 years.

By: jsaltz

jsaltz — Wed, 27 Sep 2006 23:50:40 +0000

Myspace: an abomination. ’nuff said.

By: Grape Juice

Grape Juice — Wed, 27 Sep 2006 23:38:35 +0000

I have 8 myspace accounts, most of which I never check and I can’t delete because I’m no longer able to check the email address associated with the profiles. Myspace’s numbers are highly highly inflated.

By: mark

mark — Wed, 27 Sep 2006 23:25:16 +0000

Other than kids who really uses myspace nowdays. It sucks and people have way too bloated pages!

By: mike

mike — Wed, 27 Sep 2006 23:08:39 +0000

100 million 43 million, I still can’t figure out why people still dwell around that myspace crappy beast of a ’site’… I just don’t like sites that look like shit and work like crap… I mean, Myspace must have hired some webdesigners en usability experts with all that money no?

Oh and please don’t let me mention the fact that people can ‘design’their own space… All those colors and animated gifs and…and…and!! Makes me think of… well 1996!

Myspace; when will this hype BOOM? (please let the Myspace beast die soon ^_^)